Wednesday, 21 October 2020 – Salish Sea Storm Surge Forecast

Marine and Atmospheric Conditions - Storm Surge Alerts

Marine and Atmospheric Conditions - Storm Surge Alerts image

Disclaimer

This page presents output from a research project. Results are not expected to be a robust prediction of the storm surge.

Model sea surface height has been evaluated through a series of hindcasts for significant surge events in 2006, 2009, and 2012 [1].

Reference

[1] Soontiens, N., Allen, S., Latornell, D., Le Souef, K., Machuca, I., Paquin, J.-P., Lu, Y., Thompson, K., Korabel, V. (2015). Storm surges in the Strait of Georgia simulated with a regional model. Atmosphere-Ocean volume 54, issue 1. https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2015.1108899

Tidal Predictions for Point Atkinson

Tidal Predictions for Point Atkinson image

Tide Gauge Station Sea Surface Heights:

Point Atkinson Sea Surface Height image

Data Sources

The forcing data used to drive the Salish Sea models are obtained from several sources:

Winds and metorological conditions
Open boundary conditions
Rivers
  • Fraser river: Real-time Environment Canada data at Hope
  • Other rivers: J. Morrison , M. G. G. Foreman and D. Masson, 2012. A method for estimating monthly freshwater discharge affecting British Columbia coastal waters. Atmosphere-Ocean volume 50, issue 1. https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2011.637667
Tidal constituents
  • Tidal predictions were generated using constituents from the Canadian Hydrographic Service.

    This product has been produced by the Department of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, University of British Columbia based on Canadian Hydrographic Charts and/or data, pursuant to CHS Direct User Licence No. 2015-0303-1260-S.

    The incorporation of data sourced from CHS in this product shall not be construed as constituting an endorsement by CHS of this product.

    This product does not meet the requirements of the Charts and Nautical Publications Regulations, 1995 under the Canada Shipping Act, 2001. Official charts and publications, corrected and up-to-date, must be used to meet the requirements of those regulations.